• AUD/USD
    SELL
    -
    BUY
    -
    CHG
    -
  • EUR/GBP
    SELL
    -
    BUY
    -
    CHG
    -
  • EUR/JPY
    SELL
    -
    BUY
    -
    CHG
    -
  • EUR/USD
    SELL
    -
    BUY
    -
    CHG
    -
  • GBP/USD
    SELL
    -
    BUY
    -
    CHG
    -
  • USD/CAD
    SELL
    -
    BUY
    -
    CHG
    -
  • USD/CHF
    SELL
    -
    BUY
    -
    CHG
    -
  • USD/JPY
    SELL
    -
    BUY
    -
    CHG
    -

Gold, crude oil moving higher as US dollar softens

Discover the latest surge in gold and crude oil as US dollar lowers. Learn about their inverse relationship and the possible implications for forex traders.
Source: Bloomberg
Picture of Frank Kaberna
Frank Kaberna
Director of Strategy, Chicago

Data current as of 3/1/2024

Key points

  • Gold nears all-time high; crude hits YTD high: (1:14)
  • USD under selling pressure: (4:15)
  • Dollar still historically strong: (5:24)
  • Gold and USD negatively correlated: (6:52)
  • Crude oil resurgence could shake USD: (9:28)

Gold and crude oil rally to new heights

Gold futures are edging closer to an all-time high, with prices surging above $2,050 - close to all-time highs above $2,100. Concurrently, crude oil has reached year-to-date highs, crossing the $80 mark for the first time since November 2023. These milestones underscore the commodities' robust performance amidst fluctuating economic conditions and highlight their appeal as investment assets during times of currency devaluation.

USD's influence on commodity prices

Amidst the rising prices of gold and crude oil, the Australian dollar (AUD/USD) has strengthened, trading back above the 0.6500 mark. This movement suggests a correlation between commodity prices and the relative weakening of the US dollar. Gold and US dollar are negatively correlated, with the current correlation between gold and AUD/USD around +0.45. Even with the recent surge in gold, the dollar remains historically strong - AUD/USD having reached as high as 0.9500 in the past decade.

Implications of crude oil's resurgence

The resurgence in crude oil prices also points to potential pressures on the US dollar. Higher oil prices can contribute to the currency's softer stance, as seen in past periods where rising crude prices coincided with lower dollar values. The relationship between crude oil and the dollar underscores the importance of monitoring commodity markets for traders and investors looking to navigate currency fluctuations effectively.

How to trade US dollar

  1. Open an account to get started, or practice on a demo account
  2. Choose your forex trading platform
  3. Open, monitor, and close positions on USD pairs

Trading forex requires an account with a forex provider like tastyfx. Many traders also watch major forex pairs like EUR/USD and USD/JPY for potential opportunities based on economic events such as inflation releases or interest rate decisions. Economic events can produce more volatility for forex pairs, which can mean greater potential profits and losses as risks can increase at these times.

You can help develop your forex trading strategies using resources like tastyfx’s YouTube channel. Once your strategy is developed, you can follow the above steps to opening an account and getting started trading forex.

Your profit or loss is calculated according to your full position size. Leverage will magnify both your profits and losses. It’s important to manage your risks carefully as losses can exceed your deposit. Ensure you understand the risks and benefits associated with trading leveraged products before you start trading with them. Trade using money you’re comfortable losing.

Reviewed by:
Glen Frybarger
Senior Content Strategist, Chicago

This information has been prepared by tastyfx, a trading name of tastyfx LLC. This material does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. You should not treat any opinion expressed in this material as a specific inducement to make any investment or follow any strategy, but only as an expression of opinion. This material does not consider your investment objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for you. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the above information. tastyfx accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. See our Summary Conflicts Policy, available on our website.