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Japanese yen hits 30-year low amid dollar strength

As the USD/JPY smashes past 151.00, reaching near 30-year highs, Japan's yen plummets following BoJ's rare rate hike. U.S. economic stability contrasts with Japan's volatility, raising potential for further yen declines.
Source: Bloomberg
Picture of Frank Kaberna
Frank Kaberna
Director of Strategy, Chicago

Data current as of 3/20/2024

Key points

  • USD/JPY smashes 151.00, nears 30-year high: (1:01)
  • Yen hits 30-year low following Bank of Japan: (2:30)
  • US economy consistent amid high interest rates: (4:16)
  • JP economy shaky even with expansionary policy: (5:16)
  • Could Japanese yen crash?: (6:25)

USD/JPY smashes 151.00, nears 30-year high

In a major move, USD/JPY surged past the 151.00 mark midweek, closing in on a 30-year high, after the US dollar appreciated by more than 400 pips against the yen in the last week. This significant uptick underscores the dollar's strength and the yen's relative weakness amid current global financial market dynamics. For traders, this sharp movement highlights the importance of monitoring geopolitical and economic news that can drive such substantial currency fluctuations.

Yen hits 30-year low following Bank of Japan

The yen plunged to a 30-year low, a direct aftermath of the Bank of Japan's first interest rate hike since 2007. With the USD/JPY hitting its highest daily close in 30 years at 151.76 last November, market participants are keenly observing how the BoJ's monetary policy adjustments will further influence this currency pair. Despite the BoJ's rate hike, uncertainty around future hikes or policy direction shook investor confidence, sending the yen lower.

US economy consistent amid high interest rates

Despite facing high interest rates of 5.5%, the US economy has exhibited remarkable resilience, maintaining consistent GDP growth rates above 2.0%. This stability, even in the face of tightening monetary policy, offers a bullish outlook for the dollar, influencing its strength against global counterparts. For forex traders, understanding the relationship between interest rates and economic growth is crucial for making informed trading decisions.

JP economy shaky even with expansionary policy

In contrast to the consistent growth in the US, Japan's economy has shown volatility, with GDP growth rates fluctuating despite negative interest rates aimed at economic expansion. This inconsistency points to underlying challenges within the Japanese economy that could impact the yen's value. The BoJ's experiment with negative interest rates failed to stimulate consistent growth, spelling uncertainty for what's ahead with 0% interest rates.

Could Japanese yen crash?

Amid signs of economic instability in Japan, there's speculation about a potential crash in the yen's value. With USD/JPY's wide range of 2,300 pips in 2023, a continued upward trajectory for the USD could be on the horizon, should Japan's economic woes persist. Conversely, if the Japanese economy picks up, and the US lowers rates, USD/JPY has historical room to fall. These scenarios underline potential for heightened volatility forex markets, particularly for those trading the USD/JPY currency pair.

How to trade USD/JPY

  1. Open an account to get started, or practice on a demo account
  2. Choose your forex trading platform
  3. Open, monitor, and close positions on USD/JPY

Trading forex requires an account with a forex provider like tastyfx. USD/JPY can be found in tastyfx's platform under the 'Major' pairs tab. Many traders also watch major forex pairs like GBP/USD and AUD/USD for potential opportunities based on economic events such as inflation releases or interest rate decisions. Economic events can produce more volatility for forex pairs, which can mean greater potential profits and losses as risks can increase at these times.

You can help develop your forex trading strategies using resources like tastyfx’s YouTube channel. Once your strategy is developed, you can follow the above steps to opening an account and getting started trading forex.

Your profit or loss is calculated according to your full position size. Leverage will magnify both your profits and losses. It’s important to manage your risks carefully as losses can exceed your deposit. Ensure you understand the risks and benefits associated with trading leveraged products before you start trading with them. Trade using money you’re comfortable losing.

Reviewed by:
Glen Frybarger
Senior Content Strategist, Chicago

This information has been prepared by tastyfx, a trading name of tastyfx LLC. This material does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. You should not treat any opinion expressed in this material as a specific inducement to make any investment or follow any strategy, but only as an expression of opinion. This material does not consider your investment objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for you. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the above information. tastyfx accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. See our Summary Conflicts Policy, available on our website.